The 2023 offseason for the Chicago Cubs has been intriguing, primarily characterized by strategic steadiness augmented by a robust farm system. After a tumultuous 71-91 finish in 2021 and subsequent roster upheaval initiated by Cubs president Jed Hoyer, the franchise has embarked on a path to long-term success. This strategy is paying dividends with consecutive 83-win seasons post-2021, showcasing a more stable framework.
One of the hallmarks of the Cubs' current roster is its solidity; every starting position player is under contract through 2024. This continuity bodes well for a team seeking to maintain stability while eyeing future improvements. Cody Bellinger's decision to exercise his player option further nails down this steadfastness, ensuring his presence in the lineup for another season.
Market Movements and Strategic Restraint
Despite this stability, the Cubs remain hesitant to dive into the deep end of the free agent market. High-profile free agents, such as Juan Soto and Corbin Burnes, appear out of the Cubs' financial reach for now. Conversely, they aren't losing significant pieces to free agency, which allows them the luxury to build selectively from within while taking advantage of business opportunities as they arise. Anthony Santander's new free agency status and Travis d'Arnaud's availability on the market could present intriguing, albeit less ambitious, options for the Cubs.
Offensive and Pitching Performance
Last season saw the Cubs ranking 12th in runs scored and 10th in on-base percentage, indicating a respectable offensive show. Yet, power seemed elusive, as no player surpassed the 25-home run mark, and the team ranked 21st in total home runs. This statistical output suggests room for improvement, potentially by trading or integrating prospects who can add depth to the lineup.
On the mound, the Cubs showcased a robust rotation that ranked sixth in ERA and 12th in innings pitched. Key contributors in this department included Dansby Swanson’s team-leading 4.0 WAR performance. Considering these accolades, the Cubs' rotation has emerged as a pillar of their competitive edge.
Transaction Rumblings and Prospects
The Cubs’ deep farm system could hold the answer to their lineup's power deficiencies. However, to bolster their pitching staff or address other tactical needs, the team might consider utilizing players like Nico Hoerner, Ian Happ, and Jameson Taillon as potential trade pieces. The Cubs might pursue trades for pitchers such as Max Fried, Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, Nathan Eovaldi, and Walker Buehler, who could serve as key acquisitions to fortify their rotation.
Notably, Roki Sasaki, capturing the attention of MLB teams, has piqued the Cubs’ interest and could bring a fresh, energetic approach to the pitching ensemble. In the catching department, Miguel Amaya is currently regarded as a transitional figure, anticipated to bridge the gap until prospect Moises Ballesteros arrives, potentially offering long-term security behind the plate.
Future Outlook
While the Cubs are blending prudence with proactive measures in navigating their roster and farm system, a move for a player of Rafael Devers' caliber appears unlikely, aiming instead for sustainable, judicious growth. This strategy reinforces the overarching narrative of a Cubs organization that prefers organic progression over the erratic highs and lows of expensive market plays.
The course laid down by the Cubs sets ambitious yet measured expectations. The club prioritizes enduring success while leveraging existing assets and cultivating their farm system’s potential. As 2024 approaches, the Cubs appear well-positioned to contend in a dynamically shifting league landscape, albeit with strategic adjustments to keep the momentum going.